Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.085505 5.521259 6.005226 6.588518 7.280758 8.087174 9.115045
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.649467 5.230802 5.921339 6.822063 7.998971 9.538362 11.810953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.316453 4.995204 5.846918 7.036761 8.737653 11.243081 15.632351
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.160252 4.952224 6.003595 7.586200 10.100476 14.425947 24.303947
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.763487 4.548127 5.622365 7.310138 10.170692 15.637536 31.140448
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.593544 4.430930 5.626275 7.621361 11.347824 19.837262 58.356144
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.424428 4.296083 5.586820 7.864223 12.547334 25.584924 172.213265
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.175797 4.022041 5.300916 7.630596 12.710332 28.963279 1015.602442
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.942032 3.750739 4.990582 7.301799 12.567799 31.471542 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.901089 3.765556 5.144347 7.888844 15.037982 54.518424 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.967048 3.952809 5.620451 9.305077 21.579009 401.080268 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.913277 3.942562 5.748420 10.023578 27.287500 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.721826 3.712324 5.482376 9.827665 29.493515 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.578900 3.551808 5.331265 9.911413 34.375080 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.450636 3.405138 5.188599 9.990892 40.722484 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.381443 3.355521 5.238954 10.709863 61.769765 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.219186 3.126053 4.878359 9.960636 56.977896 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.142231 3.045187 4.829870 10.285625 81.686141 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.065368 2.957990 4.755870 10.508281 123.441223 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.954762 2.800432 4.505057 9.969443 119.424510 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.847867 2.643977 4.243612 9.331629 103.355108 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.824167 2.641162 4.333183 10.141267 359.439564 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.847292 2.729243 4.654984 12.297963 NaN NaN NaN